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Wednesday, April 23, 2014

Cat on a Wall !!!

Dear All,


>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

No direction near the channel top, looks like a cat on a wall.

>>> IDFC - As Updated on 21st Apr <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Wrote on 21st Apr that we are short on IDFC - See what happened ???


>>> Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Second Target done with a Profit of Rs.18000, Now if breaks 116 then more fall coming. Get ready.

>>>> HDFC Bank - As Updated Yesterday <<<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Wrote Yesterday that we are long on HDFC Bank and Booked 5000 Part profit also, See what happened today.

>>> Happened <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Booked 10,000 Profit @ 740. Cheers!!!

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

6838 Resisted

Dear All,

>>>Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Channel resisted @ 6838.

>>>> HDFC BANK <<<<

>>>Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Yes we are long since 720 and part booked @ 730 with a profit of 5000. More upmove left for more profit. Get Ready. Cheers!!!

Monday, April 21, 2014

6819 may give a PAUSE

Dear All,

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

6819 previous high may give a pause before next move. So lets wait and see.

>>> BIOCON <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Bumper Profit booked @ 30,000. Cheers!!!

>>> IDFC <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

IDFC Long worked worked out well with a profit of Rs.10,000. Now we have shorted as given on chart. Lets see.

Saturday, April 19, 2014

Weekly Review - 21.04.2014

Dear All,

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Those who read my blog regularly may understand the above weekly chart. So a Hanging man candle last week.

Unable to cross previous week's high should be noted here.

Its going to be a highly sensitive move as election for the 16th lok sabha nearing to end. Well its going to be very interesting next week.

>>> Nifty - Hourly <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

I wrote last week 6650 is important, hence unable to break 6650, and a break out from a falling wedge shows that we still have one more up move left. So Nifty may face resistance above 6797, 6838 and 6878.

>>> Bank Nifty - Hourly <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Some more upmove left on Bank nifty also.

>>> Performance Last Week <<<

>>> Wipro <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<


>>> Bicon <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<


>>> Crompton <<<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<


>>> Stocks for Next Week <<<

>>> EMAMI LTD <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<


>>>INFY<<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<


>>> Performance <<<

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

6650 Final Support

Dear All,


>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

6650 last support for bulls. We still hold our Short on Nifty. Lets See.

>>> Crompton <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Yes we booked Part for Rs.32000. More fall coming as per chart.

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

6714 and 6686 may Support

Dear All,

>>>Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

6730 broken as wrote last week. Now channel may give support and hence 6714 and 6686 may protect the bull from falling.

>>> Wipro <<<

>>>Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Booked 10,000 Profit in wipro.

>>> BIOCON <<<

>>>Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Long since 440, more upside left

Sunday, April 13, 2014

Weekly Review :- 15.04.2014

Dear All,


>>> Modi Vs Rajan <<<

Rajan, 51, served as chief economic adviser to the finance ministry under the Congress party-led government, which opinion polls say faces defeat in the five-week national election starting on Monday.

RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan, who since being appointed last September has enjoyed an unusually smooth ride in a country where governments often treat the RBI as a punchbag for their own policy failings.

The former International Monetary Fund chief economist is widely viewed as India's most capable technocrat, winning the respect of investors for his handling of a currency crisis that hit Asia's third-largest economy last year.

Rajan has raised the repo policy rate three times by a total of 75 basis points to 8 percent.

BJP treasurer Piyush Goyal has attacked Rajan over a series of interest rate hikes intended to curb inflation, now running at double the RBI's longer-term 4 percent target, at a time when economic growth has fallen to its slowest in a decade.

Subramanian Swami, a BJP ideologue and former cabinet minister with close ties to a Hindu grassroots movement that has shaped Modi's thinking, puts it more bluntly: "We can make it worthwhile for him to leave," Swami told Reuters.

"Governor Rajan is only aggravating the problems and making them worse by increasing interest rates," Goyal, a leading strategist and fundraiser for the nationalist opposition party, told the Economic Times.

Under the RBI Act of 1934, Rajan serves at the pleasure of the government: "The central government may remove from office the Governor, a Deputy Governor or any other Director," it says.

While no RBI governor has been sacked in the central bank's 80-year history, two have quit before completing their terms - most recently Sir Benegal Rama Rau, who resigned in 1957 due to differences with the finance minister.

Arun Jaitley, a BJP leader tipped to assume either the finance or home affairs portfolio in the next government, has meanwhile avoided confrontation. Asked about Rajan in a TV interview last month, Jaitley said: "If someone is doing good job, he will certainly continue."

"It will be a big loss of face for the country and would create a negative perception among foreign investors if the BJP removes the governor immediately after forming the government," said A. Prasanna, an economist at ICICI Securities Primary Dealership Ltd in Mumbai.

Brushing aside as "speculation" that he has differences with the leaders of BJP, widely expected to form the next government, Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan said they are "media invention". "On differences with the new government, I haven't had any discussion with the new government. I think it's all press invented difference. I think it should be seen as speculation rather than any actual differences," he said while commenting on reported differences with the BJP leaders.

>>> Nifty - Weekly <<<

>>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<<

Hope one can understand the above chart clearly. If this is right, then every one should be careful hereafter - as there may a serious fall in coming days.

Since nothing to do with monthly chart, lets go to hourly chart.

>>> Nifty - Hourly <<<

>>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<<

As per this hourly chart, If i'm right, then friday's fall should a corrective downside for a last leg of upmove. The rise can move up till 6835 or even 6865 to complete its 5th wave upmove.

Provided if breaks 6733-6730 support as shown on chart, then the upmove get truncated to resume the fall.

>>> Bank Nifty - Weekly <<<

>>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<<

Since the above chart on bank nifty - published for several weeks as its facing the resistance, I think no need to explain as the picture speaks more about it.

>>> Performance <<<

>>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<<

Thursday, April 10, 2014

Is this a Final Run Up!!!

Dear All,

>>> Nifty <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Should break the levels 6790, 6770, 6760, 6747 and 6730 to confirm the fall. Else may bounce again for the last leg (5th wave) of upmove as shown on chart.

Upmove may face resistance @ 6830 and 6865 on the upper side. Lets See.

>>> Bank Nifty <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Bank Nifty resisted @ 61.8% fib lvl. Need confirmation on either side to decide. Be patience.


Wednesday, April 09, 2014

6830 - Above Upmove may Extend !!!

Dear All,

>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Nifty started moving up again inside the channel. Broken previous high 6774 shows that the 5th wave is still ON. Tomorrow if able to break above 6830 as shown on chart, then upmove to continue again.

So traders who have taken short should maitain Stop loss @ 6830.

Many asking me about the Nifty movement comparing with election results. I have no idea about the probability, as I am a TA, and I do follow levels. After getting support @ 6650 on Monday, Nifty made a aggressive move today shows that the 5th wave is alive.

Though its a last leg of upmove, its important to follow Stop Loss and we need to protect our capital. Lets See.

>>> SBIN - As Updated Last Weekly Review <<<

>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

I have mentioned on my weekly review that SBI has formed a channel on daily chart and 1-5 upmove seems like ending on the hourly chart also.

>>> Happened <<<

>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Instead SBI took support at the channel bottom and started moving up. Though we made a part booking earlier, today the stop loss met at 1962 and we loss nearly 5875.

>>> IDBI <<<
>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

IDBI broken the channel with good volume. We are long since 65 and made some part booking for Rs.8000. Now if stays above the channel then expect some good upmove. Lets See.

Monday, April 07, 2014

6650 Support Taken

Dear All,

>>>click the chart to see on full screen <<<

6650 supported nifty, but still out of the channel. Lets see.

>>> Tata Chemicals <<<

>>>click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Part Profit booked @ 280 - Rs.10,000. Break below the neck line may trigger more fall.

>>> CIPLa <<<

>>>click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Cipla sell initiated @ 400, made a low of 392. More fall likely. Cheers!!!

Saturday, April 05, 2014

Weekly Review - 07.04.2014

Dear All,


Modi-powered NDA may get 234-246 seats, UPA 111-123

A survey conducted by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) on Friday claimed that NDA minus Telugu Desam Party will win 246 seats.


The pollsters seem to have absolute clarity about the leadership too. They say Modi has an approval rating of 34% while just 15% have polled for Congress Vice-President Rahul Gandhi.


The BJP is likely to cross 200 seats mark for the first time in its history by bagging 206-218 Lok Sabha seats on its own. The lowest count for the Congress was 114 seats in 1999 and the highest for the BJP is 182 seats in 1998 and 1999 under the leadership of Atal Bihari Vajpayee.

According to election tracker the BJP is making huge gains in the Hindi belt states of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Haryana, Punjab, Jharkhand and its Prime Ministerial nominee Narendra Modi's home state of Gujarat. The BJP is ahead of the AAP in Delhi which has 7 Lok Sabha seats.

It is in a close fight with the Congress in Karnataka and slightly ahead in Maharashtra. The BJP is not making any gains in Andhra Pradesh, Kerala, West Bengal, Assam and other Northeastern states.

It may get a few seats in Telangana, which will be India's 29th state from June 2, 2014.

How to form a government?

The BJP-led NDA may fall short of 30-40 seats for a simple majority figure of 272 Lok Sabha seats. However, it can take the help of YSR Congress Party, TRS, DMK or AIADMK, BSP and TDP to reach the halfway mark. The TMC and BJD have made it clear that they will not back the NDA. But, they can change their mind once the results are out.

Don't know how markets going to react next week. Any way lets go to Technical's - Lets See what Chart says to us...!!!

>>> Nifty - Weekly - As Updated Last Weekly Review <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Last week wrote that the trend line on weekly chart may act as a resistance. See what happened

>>> Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

A Red Doji on the trend line is a Caution Note from bear. So lets See What Daily chart say to us.

>>> Nifty - Daily - As Updated Last Weekly Review <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Trend line as resistance - See what happened.

>>> Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

So finally the 5 wave upmove has ended and its time to correct. If 6600 breaks then 6420 may be the next level. Lets See.

>>> Nifty - Hourly <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Yes it took nearly 60 days to reach from 5933 to 6774 and now broken the base support line. Caution advised.

>>> Bank Nifty - As Updated Last Weekly Review <<<


>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Last week wrote - Trend line as resistance - See what happened.

>>> Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Above is a weekly chart - Resisted @ 78.6% fib level or Trend line. Cross above may test 13600 on the upper side. Else fall to resume with heavy selling.

>>> Bank Nifty - Hourly View <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

12300 if holds then upmove should resume. Else fall to continue.

>>> SBIN - Daily <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Above give is a daily chart - I have assumed the entire upmove as a-b-c and the channel, if not able to cross may trigger sell off. More details on Hourly chart given below.

>>> SBIN - Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

SBIN on the last leg of upmove. If breaks the base channel - fall must start - Else may run up for another leg on the upper side which may be short lived. So over all caution advised on this stock.

>>> ACC - Daily <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Acc - I assumed as completed its A-B-C upmove. Wave C has retraced almost 161.8% of wave A. So if unable to cross the pitchfork then should fall. See more details on Hourly chart also.

>>> ACC - Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Broken the trend line after 1-5 upmove completed for Wave C. Firmly closed below the trend line indicates caution also. Lets See.

>>> Tata Chemicals - Daily <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Again one more stock - Tata Chemical completed its A-B-C and started falling. Now there is a H&S like pattern appears - which we have already published last friday, if breaks then more to fall. One more Caution. Cheers!!!