Support - 5916-20

Dear All,

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It Seems like 5916-20 getting support from Trend line as well as Andrew Pitchfork's channel bottom. If these Support not broken 5990, 6005 and 6030 should resist the Upmove. Lets See.

Weekly Review 03. 06. 2013

Dear All,

Falling Rupee, Fear of US fed may trim Stimulus, Fear of RBI may not Cut Rates made nifty to crack nearly 140 Pts on friday.

Though GDP data, which came largely in line with expectations. India's economy grew 4.8 per cent in the fourth quarter, compared with 4.7 per cent in the previous quarter. But GDP data pointed to a protracted weakness in economic growth. Also portfolio shuffling by foreign institutions ahead of changes on MSCI India index also contributed to the Fall.

Demand in the economy remained low, as private final consumption expenditure rose just 3.81 per cent in the fourth quarter, against 4.15 per cent in the previous quarter. Also, gross fixed capital formation, a proxy for investment rate, grew just 3.43 per cent, against 4.5 per cent in these two quarters.

Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia said: "I think there is evidence that the economy has bottomed out but we don't yet have evidence of strong recovery."

>>> Nifty - Daily <<<

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As Said last week, there is no change in the view.

>>>> Nifty - 5 Mins Chart <<<<

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Nifty completed wave B and started Wave C as shown on chart. So more fall coming next week also.

>>> Sbin - as on Last Weekly Review <<<

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>>> Sbin - Happened and Yet to <<<

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As said last week sbi broken down 2093 and confirmed the downside.

>>>> Bank Of India - Updated Last Weekly Review <<<

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>>>> Bank Of India - Happened and Yet to <<<

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Broken the Neck line..

>>> IbRealEst <<<<

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More fall coming on Ibrealest...?

>>> Performance <<<

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Crossed 6128

Dear All,

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Unlike Yesterday said, 6128 Crossed and Resistance line also broken on the upper side. So changed counts and views are given above. If the ongoing is a B Wave, then B wave is retracing bit high and may even touch the Upper channel of Pitchfork. So lets wait for clarity.

>>> Can Bank <<<

>>> Given Yesterday <<<

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>>> Happened and Yet to <<<

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Yesterday said CanBk to touch 415 and today Morning Booked as it is. Fresh call generated also done first target. Looking for more downside in days to come. Cheers!!!

Expiry Day

Dear All,

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No major change as it was a very choppy day ahead of Expiry. Still holding below the Resistance line as gave Yesterday. So lets wait for tomorrow for any more clarity.

>>> Can Bank - Updated as on 11th May, 2013<<<

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>>> Can Bank - Happened and Yet to <<<

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Unlike Previous Chart, we had some changes on counts, though the pattern looks like a possible H&S. Hence break below 415 and the base like or nick line may trigger a big fall on stock. We had a call on Can Bank today and done 2nd target also as give on chart. So lets see how H&S is going to perform.

Resistance 6128

Dear All,

>>> Nifty - 2 Hour Chart <<<

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Have some major changes on counts today as the Key level 6117 breached. Earlier have predicted the upmove as (iv)th wave, instead have marked as wave (b) and hence the Resistance might be 6128, if not crossed then possible to fall for wave (c) on the downside.

>>> Nifty - 5 Mins Chart <<<

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Attached above is a 5 min chart marked with key sub waves to facilitate for ABC (3-3-5) pattern. Hence 6228 if not crossed then a possible fall upto 5890 and 5830 for Wave C coming.

Bull or Bear Trap ????

Dear All,

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Nifty surged sharply above 6030 resistance after index heavyweight Reliance Industries announced a significant gas and condensate discovery in the KG D6 block.
So the above chart looks like a Head and Shoulder, if this is right!!! then should make a sharp fall from here, provided the price should break the channel mentioned on chart.

6114-6118 should act as a Resistance. Support 6083,6048 and 6005. Lets See

Weekly Review 27.05.2013

Dear All,

>>> Nifty-Daily <<<

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Weekly chart gave a Bearish engulfing candle, no doubts its a clear signal from bear. Daily chart suggest here that the top has been formed at 6229 and broken many supports like 6230 and 5971, Now I feel that Nifty may touch the 50dma or the middle support line as i have given on chart. Lets see.

>>> Nifty - Hourly <<<

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Hourly Chart suggest the Price struggling on the Lower end of the channel as well as 200 Hour MA, Break below these line may take support at 5928 and 5854.

>>> Nifty - 5 Mins <<<

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Lets have a closer look at 5 mins chart to know how the fall is happening. I feel the fall here is a (iii)rd sub wave and having some extensions and last friday consolidation is a sub wave (iv) and it looks like an expanding triangle with a-b-c-d-e and immediate resistance at 6030 as shown on chart.

>>>SBIN - As Updated on 22nd May, 2013 <<<

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>>>SBIN - As Update on 23rd May, 2013 <<<

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>>> SBIN - Happened and Yet to <<<

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SBIN as said before Result day and Happened on the day are produced above. Now whats next ??? 2093 a Good support, if broken the fall must continue, else SBI may bounce strongly to 2600+ as shown on chart. So Once again Nifty in the Hands of SBI. Very interesting stock to follow.

>>>> Titan <<<

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Have already given Titan for the last 2 weekly reivew and said fall is coming. Now the above chart suggest a Possible H&S on daily chart, suggest more fall on card. So I feel every rise is a selling oppertunity.

>>> Crompton Greaves <<<

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Yes again Crompton, Said last time it won't Cross 108. But Crossed and unable to hold and fell below 100. Now as shown on chart if break the lower end of the channel get ready for a free fall.

>>> Bank of India <<<

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Bank of India - one more H&S Candidate..Nothing more to say!!!

>>> Performance <<<

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Interested can send your query to niftyforall@yahoo.com.

Support 5928 & 5854

Dear All,

World Market along with Indian Market too fell sharply Today, as fears over a tapering of the Federal Reserve’s bond-buying program continued to play out. I have warned about this on my Face Book Yesterday itself. Those worries and weak China data led to heavy losses for global stocks, with Japan equities suffering their biggest one-day loss in more than two years.

Also State Bank of India (SBI), the largest commercial bank in the country, today said its net profit for the quarter ended March 31, 2013 fell by 18.5% from a year earlier to Rs 3,299 crore on account of higher provisions and decline in net interest income. SBI shares plunged nearly 7% as earnings were poorer than market expectations.

Reacting to the meltdown in global equities, Finance Minister P Chidambaram said that the US Federal Reserve Chairman's statement has been misunderstood by the market. He said that foreign inflows into India in May have been copious and there is no need for investors to be nervous.

Meanwhile After S&P retained the lowest investment grade for India a week back, Moody's Analytics, in a statement today, said that the Indian economy is growing below its potential.

It said, "The government believes India can grow at an 8% pace if everything goes according to script. We think this is unlikely, seeing India’s potential growth rate at around only 7%; anything higher will fan inflation."

>>>NIFTY<<<

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As wrote earlier Nifty broken the key support 6070 and 6025 and made a low of 5955.85. Now 5928 should be the support and if breaks then should fill the gap left at 5854. Lets See.

>>> BANK NIFTY <<< - as Posted on Face Book Yesterday

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>>> BANK NIFTY <<<< - Happened <<<

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>>> SBIN - As Updated on Face Book <<<

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>>> SBIN - Happened <<<

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>>>> Maruti - Performance <<<<

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>>> Tata Global - Performance <<<

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>>> LicHsgFin - Performance <<<

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Support 6070 & 6025

Dear All,

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Almost broken the channel after breaking the 50 HR MA yesterday. Next Support at 6070 and 6025. Break below 6025 can bring a Heavy sell Off.
Entire global markets looking for testimony from Ben Bernanke's before the US Congress. Any negative comment or news can impact the world equity market tomorrow along with commodity market as well. Lets wait and see.

Broken 50Hr MA

Dear All,

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Wrote Yesterday about the importance of 6146 and broken today decisively. 50 Hr MA also broken shows that this fall is not an usual one, may be a warning singal from Bear. 6113 and 6103 if broken may break the Channel support as shown on chart, may try to fill the gap left at 6000 level. 6052 and 5942 are 23.6% and 38.2% retrace from the raise of 5477. Tomorrow may be a trend decider, going to be interesting as well.

>>> Jp Associates <<

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Jp Associates after giving a break out on IHS, Price slipped today. If 75.40 breaks then the IHS becomes a false one and fall should continue, may be a deep selling also possible. Lets See.

Sent on May 21, 2013 09:45:45 AM ****N4A-STOCK-ALERT**** Sell JPASSOCIATES below 79.40. SL above 81.5. Target 77 and 75 (all spot lvl)

Sent on May 21, 2013 12:04:40 PM ****N4A-STOCK-UPDATE**** JPASSOCIATES NEAR 1ST TARGET 77. SELL GIVEN AT 79.40. PROFIT 4000X2.4=9600. OTHERS SL CTC

Support 6146.

Dear All,

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Above chart updated during market Hours on Face Book. Said 6146 is Important.

>> Happened on Nifty <<

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Formation looks like an expanding Triangle. Count also suggest end of (v)th wave, shall be confirmed if breaks below 6146. If breaks 6146 then possible fall upto the lower end of the channel. Lets See.

> Crompton Greaves <

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We had a Sell call today on Crompton as given below.

Sent on May 20, 2013 12:21:25 PM ****N4A-STOCK-ALERT**** Sell CROMPGREAV below 105.50 SL above 107.80. Target 103.20, 101.80 and 100.40 (all spot lvl

Sent on May 20, 2013 02:44:16 PM ****N4A-STOCK-ALERT**** CROMPTON DONE ALL TRAGET AT 100.50. BOOK FULL PROFIT 2000X5=10000/- ENJOY

As per above chart attached, I feel that Stock completed sub wave (iv) and should fall below 87. So I remain bearish still on the stock. Lets See..

Weekly Review - 20.05.2013

Dear All,

Standard & Poor's reiterated its negative outlook on India's credit rating, which is one notch above "junk", warning of the need to follow through on reforms and dealing a blow to a government that had recently pitched for an upgrade.

S&P's statement came as Finance Minister P. Chidambaram was in Paris to sell investors on India, part of a road show series that in recent months has taken him to New York, Singapore, Tokyo, London, Hong Kong, Frankfurt, Ottawa, and Toronto.

"We have indicated compared to one year ago, there (is) some easing of the pressure towards the downgrade of the rating," S&P credit analyst Takahira Ogawa said on a conference call on Friday.

"But nonetheless there is still more than one-third of chance for downgrade unless we see significant improvement of the factors that we mentioned," he said.

India's benchmark 10-year yield rose 4 basis points to 7.41 percent from levels before S&P issued a statement affirming the BBB- rating and negative outlook. The yield closed at 7.39 percent on Thursday.

Since taking office in July, Chidambaram has pushed a series of reforms aimed at shoring up government finances and reviving investor confidence in an economy that grew at just 5 percent in the fiscal year that ended in March, its worst in a decade.

However, the most recent parliamentary session ended early amid heated political acrimony over recent corruption scandals, stranding several pieces of legislation including a land reform bill.

Chidambaram has said he will stick to a budgeted fiscal deficit target of 4.8 percent of gross domestic product in the fiscal year ending March 2014 after being able to trim the deficit to around 5 percent in the previous fiscal year.

"We may revise the outlook to stable if the government carries through with its plans to unleash public and private investments (for example, by enacting the land acquisition bill), to implement a nationwide government sales tax, or to further trim fuel and fertilizer subsidies," S&P said.

S&P and its rival Fitch had cut their outlook on India to negative last year, warning the country of a possible rating downgrade to "junk" on worsening public finances, a slowing economy and persistent political gridlock in New Delhi.

In an April 25 meeting with S&P, Indian officials argued the outlook should be changed, and the country deserved an upgrade for actions taken by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's government to put finances in order and bolster investor confidence.

"S&P's warning of downgrading India to junk status has come as a surprise. At this juncture when signs of improvement are on the horizon, there is a high likeliness that the problems would soon be tackled," industry chamber Ficci said.

Another leading chamber CII said the negative outlook affirmation by S&P for India's BBB-status is "unfortunate".

Within hours the finance ministry stormed into action with chief economic adviser Raghuram Rajan challenging S&P's assessment. "It is disappointing that S&P has not seen it fit to improve its outlook for India, especially given that it acknowledges the important steps taken by the Indian government in recent months. International institutional investors, who have invested over $17 billion into India so far this year, do seem to have a different view. The government will continue to do what is necessary to keep India on a stable, sustainable, and strengthening growth path," Rajan said.

So is India in Trouble again ??? So what my Happen if S&P Downgrades India :-

So Lets move to technicals ..

>>> Nifty - Monthly <<<

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Monthly Chart for Nifty looks very scary - as Macd on its all time low while Price moving to new High like a Tripple Top ????

>>>> NIFTY - Daily <<<<

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No Major change in Daily chart, after the break out Nifty still on its way up. But notable things here are Macd and Rsi struggling to move along with Price as it usually happens in the last leg of upmove. Only thing to wait is to look for a meaning full move in coming days neither down or upper side.

>>>> NIFTY - HOURLY <<<<

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Cross above 6198 should lead to 6250 - Friday consolidation suggest that sub wave (iv) completed at 6146 and move up till 6198. Now above 6198 should target for 6250 and 6326.

>>> SBIN - Update <<<
>>> As given on Last weekly Review <<<

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>>> Happened and Yet to <<<

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All explanations on chart.

>>> Performance <<<

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