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Saturday, April 09, 2016

Weekly Review - 11.04.2016

Dear All,


Fall in crude oil prices, mixed economic data from major economies along with uncertainty over rate hike by the US Federal Reserve kept Indian equity markets more nervous.

Investors’ attention now has shifted to fourth quarter earnings starting next week after the market discounted the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's) interest-rate cut that was widely expected.

The RBI policy actions were on expected lines, with a 25 bps rate cut. Overall, we believe that the measures are positive for the fixed-income market and we should see a gradual easing of long-term yields. In the near-term, the equity markets are likely to remain lack-luster as the earnings season kicks in. There would be stock-specific movements as results roll out. Going into May, the global markets will look to further actions by the Fed, ECB and the outcome of the referendum in Britain regarding membership of the European Union. Hence we may see volatility.

Investments by FIIs, trend in global markets will be the key driver of the market in the truncated week ahead.

The markets will remain closed on Thursday and Friday on account of Dr Baba Saheb Ambedkar Jayanti and Ram Navami, respectively.

The government will announce Index of Industrial Production (IIP) data for February and the consumer price index (CPI) data for March 2016 on Tuesday.

The next major trigger for the Indian markets is Q4 results of India Inc. The Q4 results season starts next week with IT major Infosys announcing its Q4 March 2016 results on Friday.


>>> Nifty Weekly Chart - Posted last Weekly Review <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<


Posted on last weekly review - Hanging man and Death Cross Over. See what happened.

>>> Nifty Weekly Chart - Happened <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Price corrected nearly 235 Point from the high and we expect more correction in the coming week also.

>>> Nifty Daily Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

After 7580, next key support shall be 7526-30, if breaks fall to continue, Else expect some bounce.

>>> Bank Nifty Weekly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Weekly Chart for Nifty Bank - Shows a Bearish Engulfing Candle. Caution advised.

>>> Bank Nifty Daily Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Bank Nifty - after resisted @ 16265 - Price made a fall till 15458. 15600 being a good support must hold next week for an healthy upmove. Else price may test near 15180.

>>> Bank Nifty Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

15600 looks important. lets wait.

>>> Apollo Tyre - Booked Profit <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

We Booked our Short in Apollo Tyre with Rs.30K Profit.

>>> LICHSGFIN - Booked Profit <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

We Booked our Short in LICHSGFIN with Rs.17600 Profit.

>>> TATAMOTORS - Booked Profit <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

We Booked our Long in Tata Motors with Rs.15000/- Profit.

>>> SKSMicro - We have Shorted <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Shorted SKSMicro and Holding for a good correction.

>>> CEAT LTD - We have Shorted <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Shorted CEATLTD at 1097 and test 1077 almost 20 Points down. Holding for more correction.

>>> Performance till 08th April, 2016 <<<

>>> Click the image to see on full screen <<<

For details of our service send email to niftyforall@yahoo.com or whatsapp @ 9677924975

Thursday, April 07, 2016

Broken Support 7580. Caution Advised.

Dear All,

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Nifty Spot Broken 7580, Now look for next support @ 7530 & 7480. Cheers!!!

Wednesday, April 06, 2016

7580 If holds - Expect a Bounce.

Dear All,

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

7580 Still Holding and expect a bounce if holds.

>>> TATA MOTORS - Profit Booked <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

We Booked 10 Pts or Rs.15000/- Profit on Tata Motors today. Cheers!!!

Tuesday, April 05, 2016

Key Support 7580

Dear All,

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

7580 Next Support. Lets wait.

>>> Bank Nifty Daily - Posted Yesterday <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Wrote Yesterday - Bank Nifty Daily Chart - Made a Bearish Hanging Man. See what happened.

>>> Bank Nifty Daily - Happened <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Almost a 500+ Points fall. Next Support @ 15600.

>>> LICHSGFIN - Profit Booked Rs.17600 <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Booked Profit @ 167 with Rs.17600/-

>>> Apollo Tyre - Profit Booked Rs.30,000/- <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Booked Rs.30,000/- Profit. Cheers!!!

Monday, April 04, 2016

Above 7760 - Next Resistance @ 7820

Dear All,

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Price may see 7820 if crosses above 7760.

>>> Bank Nifty Daily Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Bank Nifty with a Red Colored Hanging man near key resistance 16265, Lets rajan decide what's next. Cheers!!!

Saturday, April 02, 2016

Weekly Review - 04th April. 2016

Dear All,


Markets will watch out for the RBI policy meet next week and a rate cut of above 50 bps could be a positive surprise. However, 25 bps is already factored in the markets. One of the key cues that we would look at is the earning season and how the monsoons will actually pan out.

World stocks gained during major part of the week after US Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen indicated that the central bank would move cautiously in regards with interest rate hike.

On the macro-economic front, economic data released by the government on Thursday showed that the output of eight core industries comprising nearly 38 per cent of the weight of items included in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) surged 5.7 per cent in February 2016, the highest rate of expansion in the past 15 months.

Bank shares edged higher on expectations of rate cut by RBI. Further, the central bank on Tuesday clarified some of the provisions relating to the Marginal Cost of Funds based Lending Rate (MCLR) system, which came into effect from April 1, 2016.

WEEK AHEAD:-

The major event next week is the first bi-monthly monetary policy of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for FY16-17 on Tuesday amid clamor for a 25 bps rate cut.

Markit Economics will unveil the outcome of a monthly survey on India's manufacturing sector for March 2016 on Monday.

The initial public offer (IPO) of Chennai-based microfinance lender Equitas Holdings opens for bidding on Tuesday.

On the political front, six-phase polling for assembly election in West Bengal and two-phase polling for assembly election in Assam kicks off on 4th April, 2016


>>> Nifty Weekly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Its a Hanging Man on Weekly Chart. Bearish Cross over should be noted down. Caution Advised.

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Hourly chart suggest a bounce possible if 7666 holds.

>>> Bank Nifty Daily Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

RBI Policy on 05th April, 2016. Looks like market expecting more from Rajan. Any dis-appointed move from rajan may Upset Bulls.

>>> Bank Nifty - Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Its an expanding - zig zag upmove, finds its resistance @ 16265.

>>> CEAT LTD - Posted on Last Weekly Review <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Wrote on last weekly review - we have entered short on CEAT Ltd for the third time. See what happened.

>>> CEAT Ltd - Booked a Good Profit <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Booked a Good Profit of Rs.42000/-

>>> Apollo Tyres - Holding <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Apollo tyre - Still on Hold.

>>> BharathForge - Booked Profit <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Have Booked Rs.13000/- Profit.

>>> BOSCHLTD - SL HIT FIRST TIME & BOOKED PROFIT SECOND TIME <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Thursday - SL hit and Re-entered short on Friday - Booked a Good Profit of Rs.21000/- Cheers!!!

>>> Performance for the month end of March, 2016 <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Kindly send your service details to niftyforall@yahoo.com or whatsapp @ 9677924975

Thursday, March 31, 2016

Peaceful Expiry Near 7760

Dear All,

>>> Nifty Daily Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

A Doji near Key Resistance 7760, Expiry happened Peacefully.

>>> BharatForge - Posted Yesterday <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Wrote Yesterday about Bharatforge to correct. See what happened today.

>>> BharatForge - Profit Booked <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Bharat Forge - Booked Profit today @ First Target 268. Cheers!!!

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Approaching 7760.

Dear All,

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

7760 As wrote many times, approached. WE have booked our long near 7740.

>>> Bharath Forge <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

We have shorted today. Since the Price resisted @ channel top and EW seems to have completed 1-5 upmove, Expecting some correction. Cheers!!!

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

7580 - Still Holding.

Dear All,

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

7580 Still holding as a good support. We Have Long position and waiting for a good upmove.

>>> Apollo Tyre - Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

WE have shorted Apollo Tyre and holding for a good correction. Cheers!!!

Monday, March 28, 2016

Support @ 7580, Expect a Bounce again.

Dear All,

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Support @ 7580, Expect a bounce if holds.

>>> CEAT Ltd - As Posted on Weekly Review <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Posted on weekly review that - We are on Short side for a good correction. See what happened.

>>> CEAT LTD - Profit Booked <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Booked Profit near 1048. Cheers!!!

Sunday, March 27, 2016

Weekly Review - 28.03.2016

Dear All,

With no immediate trigger for the stock market in the coming week, market participants will watch out for global trends, investment by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), movement in crude oil price and March F&O expiry to dictate market trend.

The week is likely to remain volatile, as traders would roll over positions in the derivative segment from the near-month series to the April series on or before Thursday, which also happens to be the last trading day of the current financial year.

The market has decisively pierced the stiff resistance at 7,600, but in the absence of any near-term triggers, it is likely to go through consolidation in the coming week. However, hope of a rate cut towards the end of the week could push banking stocks as well as the broader markets higher.

The country’s current account deficit (CAD) narrowed to $7.1 billion (1.3 per cent of gross domestic product) in the quarter ended December 2015, from $7.7 billion (1.5 per cent of GDP) in the year-ago period.

The CAD was also lower than $8.7 billion (1.7 per cent of GDP) recorded in the second quarter ended September 2015.

>>> Nifty Daily Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

A Red Hanging man on daily chart. 7730 not yet cross still. Next Resistance @ 7760.

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Hourly chart forming a wedge pattern with a key resistance of 7760. Break above that may lead to 7840-44.

>>> Bank Nifty Daily Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Price resisted @ 100 DMA and channel trend line. Cross above can test 16300+

>>> CEAT LTD - Hourly Chart - We have Shorted Again <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

We are short from 1108. Price almost made a low of 1068.

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Next Wall of Resistance @ 7758-60

Dear All,

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart - Posted Yesterday <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Wrote Yeterday - Price should continue towards upside till 7758.

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart - Happened <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Price almost making a wedge pattern which may move till 7760. Lets wait and See. Cheers!!!