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Saturday, February 21, 2015

Weekly Review - 23.02.2015

Dear All,


Indian bourses will remain open for trading on the Union Budget day on February 28, a Saturday. The Securities and Exchange Board of India on Friday asked stock exchanges to allow trading as per normal trading hours on the day when finance minister Arun Jaitley will present the Budget of the Narendra Modi-led government. The capital market regulator had earlier decided against allowing trading on the day, but brokers had been urging the market watchdog and the finance ministry to keep the markets Open.

Meanwhile a major crackdown on alleged leak of classified documents from petroleum ministry, capital markets watchdog Sebi today warned it will take stern action if such stolen information was being used in the markets.

There have been reports that these leaked documents could also have been used for trading in the stock markets, although there are no official words on this.

"I am hearing it for the first time from you people that the stolen information was allegedly used for trading in the market. We have an integrated surveillance department. If there is an iota of truth in that, my people would already be on working on that," Sinha said.


On Thursday, the oil ministry was rocked by a scandal involving the leakage of official documents by government employees and other officials.

The entire pack of oil & gas sector stocks witnessed a decline on the back of document-leak scandal. Indian Oil was down 2.7 per cent, ONGC fell 0.7 per cent, and Castrol India was down 0.9 per cent.

"The leaking of the documents acted as a trigger for investors who were looking to book profits in the sector. Over the past several months, many of the oil & gas stocks had risen quite significantly and stocks had become expensive," said Dipen Shah, head of private client group research at Kotak Securities.

"Some amount of heavy-selling was seen in index derivatives towards the end of the day. This could be a part of the pre-Budget hedging by traders and investors," said Daljeet Singh Kohli, head of research at IndiaNivesh Securities.

"The markets had been rising continuously for the past seven sessions. So some amount of profit-booking was expected. The selling was not extraordinary because at no point did the index fall by more than one per cent," said Bhamre, who heads the derivatives analysis at Angel Broking.

Analysts said the mood going into the Budget was optimistic and there was very little cause for nervousness. "People have high expectations from the Budget, but that does not mean people are nervous and will look to pare positions aggressively. There could be some risk-aversion at higher levels as the Budget draws closer. But overall, the sentiment remains positive," said Shah


BRUSSELS—The eurozone approved a four-month extension on Greece’s bailout Friday, provided Athens submits by Monday details on the reform and budgetary measures it plans to take, Austria’s finance minister Hans Jörg Schelling said.

The four-month extension falls short of the six months Greece had requested Thursday and strengthens the hand of the country’s creditors in negotiations for a follow-up deal.

Greece has to submit a list of proposed measures by Monday, which will then assessed by the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund by April, Schelling said.

Finance ministers will hold conference call Tuesday night to discuss the Greek list of measures.

>>> Nifty Weekly Chart <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

As shown on above weekly chart bulls ignored a Doji last time, lets hope this may be repeated again.

>>> Nifty Daily Chart <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Yes 9578 may be the final Target for bulls. We are long since 8530 and continue to hold the long until there is a meaningful sell trigger on the chart.

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Ofcourse the golden cross over happened in favour of bulls, 78.6% Resistance must be crossed and closed above should help the bulls for a healthy upmove. So lets wait for it.

>>> Bank Nifty - Hourly <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

We are Long in Bank Nifty - Looking for a good Break Out. Lets Wait and See.

>>> Stocks of the Week <<<

>>> BIOCON - As Posted on 13th Feb, 2015 <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Posted last week and wrote to Buy Biocon on every dips for a good upmove. See what happened.

>>> BIOCON - Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

We had a Part Booking of Rs.10K. Price made a high of 453.8 near to our first Target 458. More rally on card. Keep buying on dips.

>>> Grasim - As Posted on 12th Feb, 2015 <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Wrote Last week - We have re-entered Short on Grasim @ 3860. See what Happened.

>>> Grasim - Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Price almost made a low of 3750 with a Profit of Rs.13750/-. Expect more fall in coming days.

>>> Just Dial - As Posted on 19th Feb, 2015 <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Stay Long on Just Dial, Expect a good move above the Trend line.

>>> TATAMOTORS - As Posted on 19th Feb, 2015 <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

We have made a Part profit of Rs.5000, looking for more fall.

>>> PERFORMANCE <<<

>>> click the image to see on full screen <<<

Send email to niftyforall@yahoo.com.

Thursday, February 19, 2015

Resistance @ 8913-8915. Support @ 8766 & 8735

Dear All,

>>> NIFTY - Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Looks like an small expanding triangle. If 8913-15 Can't Cross, may test 8766 and 8735 on the downside.

>>> Bank Nifty - Hourly Chart <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Earlier on the Day - Have alerted our Clients about the possibilities of testing 18876, Exactly test 18876 as given. Later a Buy call was given to our clients, as posted on chart. Buy given near 18990-19000. Price Made a High of 19260 today itself.

If the Resistance 100 Hour Moving Average crosses as shown above, then Expect a good Rally. We had our Longs, will wait till our Targets get achieved.

>>> TATA MOTORS <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

We shorted near 583 and had a Part Booking of Rs.5000. Above chart shows - the corrective upmove ended after filling the gap. Now if the price breaks the channel as shown on chart, then expect a free fall.

>>> Just Dial - As Posted Yesterday <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Yesterday we have posted the above chart on Just Dial, Mentioned to Buy. See what happened today.

>>> Just Dial - Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

As Expected today Just Dial Moved UP even in the negative market, We are holding our Long, Waiting for a good upmove. If the Trend line breaks out - as shown on chart, Expect a good rally. Cheers!!!

Wednesday, February 18, 2015

Resistance @ 8885. Support @ 8766

Dear All,

>>> Nifty <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Resistance 8885 and Support @ 8766.

>>> Just Dial <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Just Buy Just Dial. We are Long. Cheers!!!

Monday, February 16, 2015

Support @ 8766 & 8735

Dear All,

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart <<<


>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Above Chart reveals how Moving Average Cross Over helping the Bulls. As per EW markings, Current upmove started as 1-5 from 8470 and currently price moving down as corrective phase for wave (iv), support should be at 8766 and 8735. Once the (iv)th sub wave get completes the upmove should resume once again. Just remain Long till then.

>>> RCOM <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

We are Long in Rcom since 71. Price closed today @ 75. As shown on above chart, If price breaks the Trend line - Fresh Short Covering and Rally to come in. RSI already in a Break Out Mode. Just Buy Buy and Buy. Cheers!!!

Saturday, February 14, 2015

Weekly Review - 16.02.2015

Dear All,

After poor Q3 results from many companies, SBI made a Better than Expected result on Friday, though raise in NPA boosted sentiment in our Market. After lose in Delhi election, BJP expected to give a reforms oriented budget scheduled on Feb 28th, 2015. Upbeat German data boosted sentiments in European Market also gave strength to the bulls.

The government on Monday estimated India’s economic growth this financial year at 7.4%, against 6.9% in 2013-14, as the country changed its definition of gross domestic product (GDP) and the base year for calculating it.

Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation rose in January compared to December, another set of data showed while the Industrial growth slowed to 1.7 per cent in December from 3.9 per cent in November, owing to low consumer durable goods and mining output. The Reserve Bank of India has set a target of restricting inflation to eight per cent by January 2015 and six per cent in January 2016.

We have covered our Shorts on Nifty and Entered Long on 10th Feb @ 8530 with a big Target. Lets see more about it on technical Charts as follows.

>>> Nifty - Weekly Chart <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Very Good support given from 15 Week Moving Average to Bulls. A Bullish Candle looks in favour of Bulls in coming weeks also. Short Sellers watch Your Stop loss.

>>> Nifty Daily Chart <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

As shown on above Daily Chart - Price should move towards the upper end of the channel as a Pre-Budget Rally. Probably above 9000+.

>>> Nifty Hourly - As Posted on 12th Feb, 2015 <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

As Posted on 12th Feb, Our Nifty long on first Target.

>>> Nifty Hourly Chart - Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Mode a 300 Points Profit so far. Two hurdles for bulls on hourly chart Next Week. 8840 and 8884 may resist.

>>> >>> Block Buster Chart of the Week <<<

>>> Grasim - As Posted on 09th Feb, 2015 <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Wrote on 09th Feb, We have booked 25K and look for a bounce back to re-enter short. See what happened.

>>> Grasim - As Posted on 12th Feb, 2015 <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

As updated on 12th Feb, We have re-entered short @ 3860 for a sell off agian. Lets Wait and See.

>>> BIOCON <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

We are long since 429 and we still hold for a good upmove. Price if breaks above channel as shown on chart, Expect a big upmove next week. Just buy and enjoy the rally.

>>> Hexaware <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

UPmove competed as 1-5 as shown above. Expect a sell off if the Trend line doesn't crosses.

>>> PERFORMANCE - As On 13th Feb, 2015 <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

You can send us email to niftyforall@yahoo.com for details.

Thursday, February 12, 2015

Hurdle @ 8733 & 8795

Dear All,

>>> Nifty - As Posted Yesterday <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Yesterday - Updated as - if breaks above 8646 - may test 8671 and 8733. See what happened ???

>>> NIFTY - Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Today we have booked 160 Pts on our Long. Now 8733 & 8795 Act as a Stiff Resistance, Unable to cross may trigger sell off.

>>> Bank Nifty - As Posted Yesterday <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

After RSI break out - Have written yesterday to look for a short covering, See what happened.??

>>> Bank Nifty - Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

19250 and 19567 must be the key resistance. Lets wait and see.

>>> GRASIM - As Posted on 09th feb, 2015 <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Earlier we have booked Rs.25000/- On Short call, and mentioned that the price may bounce back as shown on chart. See what happened.

>>> GRASIM - Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

As expected or written on 09th Feb Post, Price bounce back till 3931. We have re-entered Grasim short @ higher level again. Lets Wait and see for a good correction. Cheers!!!

Wednesday, February 11, 2015

More Rally above 8646 ?!?!

Dear All,

>>> NIFTY - As Posted Yesterday <<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<
Wrote Yesterday - Need Nifty may bounce back. See what happened ?

>>> NIFTY - Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<
As expected Price rallied and RSI on a good break out. Now price should break above 8646 for a rally towards 8671,8733 and 8795.

>>> Bank Nifty - As Posted Yesterday <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<
Wrote on Bank Nifty also to expect a bounce back, after RSI gave a good break out. See what happened.

>>> BANK NIFTY - Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<
Price rallied still 19051 and expect more such upmove.

>>> HEXAWARE <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<
Almost completed 1-5 Rally. Now if channel can't break out, Expect a good Sell Off. Cheers!!!

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Resistance @ 8645

Dear All,

>>> NIFTY <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Volatile day. Tomorrow if trades above 8645 - Good Bounce expected.

>>> Bank Nifty <<<

>>> click the chart to see on full screen <<<

completed 1-5 downside. RSI on break out mode. Wait for rally.

Monday, February 09, 2015

Support @ 8520 / 8466 & 8400

Dear All,

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Greek collision with Europe / Muted Earnings on Q3 / Delhi Exit Polls in favour of AAP - Nifty made a gap down and continue to fall. Above chart shows the fall was like W-X-Y. 8520 - 8466 and 8400 Should support Nifty.

>>> GRASIM - As Posted on Weekly Review <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Wrote on Weekly Review - Head and Shoulder Broken - See what happened ?

>>> GRASIM - Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Almost 200 Points fall from 3900. Almost Profit of Rs. 25000/- so Far. Now we expect some relief rally on stock, from where expect a sell off once again. Cheers!!!

Saturday, February 07, 2015

Weekly Review - 09.02.2015

Dear All,


Markets Friday ended lower for a sixth straight day due to disappointing third quarter numbers posted by blue-chip companies, including Tata Motors. Concerns that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) might face defeat in the Delhi Assembly elections also weighed on investor sentiment. Market posted a second straight weekly loss, mainly dragged by weak corporate earnings and increase in bad loans at state-owned banks.

Below-expected quarterly numbers were largely responsible for poor show this week. The PSU bank numbers raised concerns over their asset quality. Tata Motors’ results also failed to meet expectations.

Going ahead, markets will focus on the outcome of the Delhi Assembly elections, remaining quarterly numbers and the Budget. A growth-oriented Budget with structural reforms will lead to further re-rating of the markets. However, any disappointment in the Budget will be a negative for the markets.

Power stocks also saw a sell-off on Delhi elections worries. The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), considered to be the front-runner, has promised cut in rates and to audits power companies.


Most opinion polls peg Arvind Kejriwal-led AAP to win the Delhi elections. If the opinion polls turn out to be true the market could come under further selling pressure.

>>> Nifty Daily - As Posted Last Weekly Review <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

As we posted on Last weekly Review about Nifty Daily - More downside left from 8809. See what happened ??

>>> Nifty Daily - Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

An Interim Support may help the BULL, But if breaks the Support again, Price may drift heavily. Lets see whats are the chances left in Hourly chart also.

>>> Nifty Hourly - As Posted Last Weekly Review <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Yes, We had our Short on Nifty - As the Price broken the channel - See what happened and what's Next !!!

>>> Nifty Hourly - Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Price may get support @ 8616 or 50% Golden Retrace @ 8616. If breaks 8616 then price may test the second support @ 8527. Should watch RSI also, if helps the bull, then a fast rebound possible.

>>> Bank Nifty Daily - As Posted Last Weekly Review <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Bank Nifty - As posted on Last Weekly Review - Price fell down from 19844 to 18786. Now lets see what's Next ?.

>>> Bank Nifty Daily - Happened and Yet to <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Price may get an interim support as shown on above chart. Lets see in detail on Hourly Chart too.

>>> Bank Nifty Hourly <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Price falling as 1-5, almost nearing to end its 5th wave fall. Its very clear that bear getting weak on the 5th wave fall. When the price fell down from 19991 to 18818 - RSI not supporting or falling along with Price. As per EW Price may get its support at the end of 5th wave @ 18650. In such a case - expect a speedy pull back.

>>> Blockbuster Stock's - Charts of the Week <<<

>>> CANBK - As posted on 22nd Jan, 2015 <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Wrote to Sell CanBk - As the formation was a Bearish Raising Wedge.

>>> CANBK - As Posted Last Weekly Review <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Yes, We wrote on Last Weekly Review also - Canbk to Short Sell on every rise. See what happened ??

>>> CanBk - Happened <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Patience Paid. Yes, Price broken down from the raising wedge and Our Short on CanBk gave us a Profit of Rs.26000/-.

>>> ASHOKLEY - As Posted on 29th Jan, 2015 <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

On 29th Jan, 2015 - We updated with a Ashok Leyland Chart for Short Selling. We had our short from 69 Onwards. See what happened.

>>> ASHOKLEY - Happened as on 04th Feb, 2015 <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Ashok Leyland - Short call fetched us Rs.48000 Profit.

>>> YESBANK - As Posted Last Weekly Review <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Mentioned on chart, UPmove ended as 1-5 and we shorted @ 880 (wrongly quoted as 885 on chart).

>>> YESBANK - Happened as on 03rd Feb, 2015 <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Price hit our First Target 800, Yes Bank gave us a Profit of Rs.40,000 on the first Target.

>>> TATAMOTORS - As Posted on 04th Feb, 2015 <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Wrote on 04th Feb, 2015, that we are short on Tata Motors from 610 onwards. See what Happened ?.

>>> TATAMOTORS - Happened <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

After the Poor Results, Price made a gap down opening and we hit our First Target and made a profit of Rs.30,000/-

>>> GRASIM <<<

>>> Click the chart to see on full screen <<<

Yes - We initiated Short on Grasim at 3900. On Friday, Price broken below 3800 - looks like a Head and Shoulder Break down. We had our Part Booking of Rs.12500. More fall expected Next Week.

>>> PERFORMANCE - As on 06th Feb, 2015 <<<

>>> Click the image to see on full screen <<<

For details of our Service - Send email us to niftyforall@yahoo.com. Cheers!!!